is still defined as the top per state, meaning the cutoff will vary from state to state. If the Commended level does increase by a point this year, does it mean that all of the estimates go up by a point? The country's most selective colleges tend to admit students who are ranked in the top 10 of their class. Additional students taking the psat in Illinois or more top scorers in New Jersey as hypothetical examples have absolutely no effect on the cutoff in California. Thus, a 19 on the ACT math section is roughly comparable to a 520 on the SAT math section. Our previous estimation included a two-point margin buffer each way to account for errors or unexpected score results. Further, the raw Concordance Cutoff closely resembles a stepwise function, with large jumps between a 210 Selection Index Score and a 215. Forty-five states were within 1 point of their class of 2018 cutoffs (twenty-one unchanged, sixteen up 1 point, and eight down 1 point). . Three states saw 2-point increases, 2 states had 2-point declines. Our Projected Cutoff smooths out these jumps and hopefully provides a better estimation of what cutoff scores might. We believe that cutoffs on the redesigned psat reach a natural limit.
The October 2016 psat resulted in even more changes: the Commended Student cutoff moved to 211, and Semifinalist cutoffs increased in forty-six of fifty states. Our second approach to estimating National Merit Semifinalists cutoff scores by state incorporates the data set provided by College Boards Concordance Table, while also accounting for what will likely be a larger range of scores by state. Semifinalist Summary for the Class of 2018. OK will be down from last year, and AL, AR, FL, and OH can be no higher than last year. Instead of using these sources, Compass has turned to the score information made available to schools. National results do not determine the state cutoffs. The button to view older posts does not function correctly.